Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.046958 3.214212 3.390986 3.592647 3.817477 4.061793 4.349237
2025-04-27 2.824203 3.057940 3.317540 3.630560 4.002437 4.436437 4.991230
2025-05-04 2.679349 2.966242 3.298938 3.720885 4.253748 4.922682 5.859653
2025-05-11 2.527330 2.848805 3.235157 3.746947 4.429963 5.349544 6.765758
2025-05-18 2.377936 2.719556 3.142286 3.723278 4.537411 5.707550 7.690944
2025-05-25 2.210700 2.553936 2.987499 3.599483 4.488980 5.834824 8.308495
2025-06-01 2.092919 2.441895 2.891784 3.544193 4.529338 6.105725 9.291209
2025-06-08 1.998551 2.353084 2.818866 3.511859 4.598105 6.438802 10.570959
2025-06-15 1.929550 2.292624 2.778848 3.521682 4.733357 6.922627 12.515843
2025-06-22 1.840810 2.199998 2.687010 3.444149 4.712874 7.111493 13.885387
2025-06-29 1.750411 2.100299 2.578739 3.331604 4.617390 7.129823 14.803817
2025-07-06 1.677675 2.021350 2.495469 3.251100 4.568137 7.236731 16.176183
2025-07-13 1.634830 1.986228 2.479798 3.287435 4.757179 7.985065 21.643427
2025-07-20 1.596914 1.956183 2.469923 3.333401 4.977844 8.932746 32.231603
2025-07-27 1.571392 1.942387 2.483539 3.421209 5.305460 10.396562 66.423975
2025-08-03 1.533984 1.909264 2.465105 3.451603 5.523058 11.733254 226.207896
2025-08-10 1.489682 1.863708 2.424115 3.437166 5.639611 12.855340 NaN
2025-08-17 1.430315 1.793163 2.339369 3.334213 5.528706 13.004472 NaN
2025-08-24 1.386988 1.744849 2.287749 3.289129 5.553307 13.820252 NaN
2025-08-31 1.350528 1.705303 2.248067 3.263113 5.622401 14.975287 NaN
2025-09-07 1.323494 1.678827 2.228129 3.273326 5.790355 16.977577 NaN
2025-09-14 1.284059 1.631855 2.171807 3.206614 5.736296 17.577296 NaN
2025-09-21 1.241192 1.578258 2.102220 3.108548 5.579792 17.334880 NaN